Biden Has Plenty of Time to Bounce Back Before the 2024 Election
null By William A. GalstonNov. 7, 2023 3:28 pm ETReview and Outlook: A wake-up call for the Democratic Party, as a Siena College-New York Times poll of six 2024 battleground states shows Mr. Biden losing to Donald Trump in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Images: AP/Getty Images Composite: Mark KellyThe latest New York Times/Siena College poll, which shows Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in five of six key swing states, shocked the Democratic establishment. Some analysts urged Mr. Biden to step down; others warned him to wake up. Many responded by questioning the survey’s accuracy or denying its significance. This response is mostly misguided.No doubt, some of the data represent mind-boggling shifts after the results of the 2020 election. The poll indicates that Mr. Biden is leading Mr. Trump by a modest 8 points among Hispanics and by a single point among voters under 30, while 22% of African-Americans support Mr. Trump, compared with an average of 8% for Repu
Nov. 7, 2023 3:28 pm ET
The latest New York Times/Siena College poll, which shows Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in five of six key swing states, shocked the Democratic establishment. Some analysts urged Mr. Biden to step down; others warned him to wake up. Many responded by questioning the survey’s accuracy or denying its significance. This response is mostly misguided.
No doubt, some of the data represent mind-boggling shifts after the results of the 2020 election. The poll indicates that Mr. Biden is leading Mr. Trump by a modest 8 points among Hispanics and by a single point among voters under 30, while 22% of African-Americans support Mr. Trump, compared with an average of 8% for Republican candidates over the past six presidential elections.
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About this article
William A. Galston writes the weekly Politics & Ideas column in the Wall Street Journal. He holds the Ezra K. Zilkha Chair in the Brookings Institution’s Governance Studies Program, where he serves as a senior fellow. Before joining Brookings in January 2006, he was Saul Stern Professor and Acting Dean at the School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, director of the Institute for Philosophy and Public Policy, founding director of the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement (CIRCLE), and executive director of the National Commission on Civic Renewal. A participant in six presidential campaigns, he served from 1993 to 1995 as Deputy Assistant to President Clinton for Domestic Policy.
Mr. Galston is the author of 10 books and more than 100 articles in the fields of political theory, public policy, and American politics. His most recent books are The Practice of Liberal Pluralism (Cambridge, 2004), Public Matters (Rowman & Littlefield, 2005), and Anti-Pluralism: The Populist Threat to Liberal Democracy (Yale, 2018). A winner of the American Political Science Association’s Hubert H. Humphrey Award, he was elected a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 2004.
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